NFL defense

Facing the softest defenses

Player	Line	Opponent
Zay FlowersWRReceiving yards	44.5	JAX Most receiving yards to WRs
Ja'Kobi LaneWRReceiving yards	9.5	JAX Most receiving yards to WRs
Michael Penix Jr.QBPassing yards	224.5	CIN 3rd most passing yards to QBs
AJ BarnerTEReceiving yards	30.5	CHI 3rd most receiving yards to TEs
Zach CharbonnetRBReceiving yards	8.5	CHI 5th most receiving yards to RBs

Wide receivers vs defense

Team	vs expected	Player games
Jacksonville Jaguars	+9%	24
Las Vegas Raiders	+8%	23
Detroit Lions	+8%	18
Houston Texans	+5%	24
Tennessee Titans	+5%	28
Dallas Cowboys	+4%	24
Baltimore Ravens	+3%	25
Philadelphia Eagles	+2%	29
Chicago Bears	+1%	18
New Orleans Saints	+1%	16
Green Bay Packers	−1%	24
Atlanta Falcons	−1%	21
Washington Commanders	−1%	21
Buffalo Bills	−1%	25
Carolina Panthers	−1%	20
New England Patriots	−1%	25
Cincinnati Bengals	−2%	22
Los Angeles Chargers	−2%	18
Arizona Cardinals	−3%	24
Los Angeles Rams	−4%	20
Denver Broncos	−4%	19
Cleveland Browns	−4%	26
Kansas City Chiefs	−4%	20
Pittsburgh Steelers	−5%	27
Minnesota Vikings	−5%	21
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	−6%	22
Miami Dolphins	−6%	19
Indianapolis Colts	−7%	27
San Francisco 49ers	−8%	23
New York Giants	−8%	25
New York Jets	−8%	26
Seattle Seahawks	−12%	23

How much more (or less) wide receivers gain against this defense than they do in their other games. Green is the easiest matchups, red the toughest.

Tight ends vs defense

Team	vs expected	Player games
Cincinnati Bengals	+11%	9
Washington Commanders	+5%	7
Chicago Bears	+5%	9
Cleveland Browns	+5%	14
Detroit Lions	+4%	10
Atlanta Falcons	+2%	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	+2%	10
Miami Dolphins	+2%	13
Kansas City Chiefs	+1%	8
New Orleans Saints	+1%	9
Arizona Cardinals	+0%	8
Buffalo Bills	−0%	12
New York Jets	−0%	10
Carolina Panthers	−1%	7
Denver Broncos	−1%	14
Indianapolis Colts	−1%	10
Houston Texans	−1%	9
Los Angeles Chargers	−2%	8
Minnesota Vikings	−2%	6
Philadelphia Eagles	−2%	10
Dallas Cowboys	−2%	10
Baltimore Ravens	−3%	10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	−4%	13
Tennessee Titans	−4%	9
San Francisco 49ers	−4%	10
Las Vegas Raiders	−4%	12
Jacksonville Jaguars	−5%	7
New York Giants	−5%	9
Seattle Seahawks	−5%	9
New England Patriots	−5%	13
Green Bay Packers	−6%	10
Los Angeles Rams	−7%	12

How much more (or less) tight ends gain against this defense than they do in their other games. Green is the easiest matchups, red the toughest.

Running backs vs defense

Team	vs expected	Player games
Las Vegas Raiders	+11%	16
New Orleans Saints	+6%	13
Dallas Cowboys	+6%	18
New York Giants	+6%	12
Los Angeles Chargers	+5%	12
Cleveland Browns	+3%	12
Miami Dolphins	+3%	10
New York Jets	+3%	16
Indianapolis Colts	+2%	12
Philadelphia Eagles	+2%	12
Arizona Cardinals	+1%	18
Tennessee Titans	+1%	15
Carolina Panthers	+1%	13
Atlanta Falcons	+0%	16
Houston Texans	−1%	11
Minnesota Vikings	−1%	12
Denver Broncos	−1%	14
Cincinnati Bengals	−2%	11
Los Angeles Rams	−3%	16
Baltimore Ravens	−3%	13
San Francisco 49ers	−4%	12
Washington Commanders	−4%	13
Chicago Bears	−4%	13
Buffalo Bills	−4%	16
New England Patriots	−5%	13
Green Bay Packers	−5%	16
Seattle Seahawks	−5%	14
Kansas City Chiefs	−6%	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	−6%	11
Detroit Lions	−6%	13
Pittsburgh Steelers	−7%	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	−8%	13

How much more (or less) running backs gain against this defense than they do in their other games. Green is the easiest matchups, red the toughest.

Quarterbacks vs defense

Team	vs expected	Player games
Detroit Lions	+4%	7
Tennessee Titans	+3%	9
Cincinnati Bengals	+2%	5
Kansas City Chiefs	+2%	7
Jacksonville Jaguars	+2%	7
Pittsburgh Steelers	+2%	6
Washington Commanders	+1%	8
Las Vegas Raiders	+1%	8
Houston Texans	+1%	8
New Orleans Saints	+1%	8
Chicago Bears	+1%	6
San Francisco 49ers	+1%	7
Philadelphia Eagles	+1%	7
Atlanta Falcons	+1%	8
Arizona Cardinals	+1%	7
Denver Broncos	+1%	8
Cleveland Browns	+0%	8
Baltimore Ravens	+0%	8
Indianapolis Colts	−1%	8
Buffalo Bills	−1%	8
Miami Dolphins	−1%	7
Carolina Panthers	−1%	7
Dallas Cowboys	−1%	6
Los Angeles Rams	−1%	8
Los Angeles Chargers	−2%	7
Green Bay Packers	−2%	7
New England Patriots	−2%	8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	−2%	8
New York Jets	−2%	7
New York Giants	−2%	7
Seattle Seahawks	−4%	6
Minnesota Vikings	−6%	8

How much more (or less) quarterbacks gain against this defense than they do in their other games. Green is the easiest matchups, red the toughest.

How to use it

A player facing a defense near the top of a column has a softer matchup for that stat. It's one input, not a pick: the board's projection weighs it with the player's own form, minutes and injuries. Today's NFL props →