Player props, the week of Oct 12–18, 2026
Closing lines went 27.8% over across 2,947 props, 769 arbs were found.
How the closing lines landed
27.8% over across 2,947 props in 214 games: the under had the better of it. By league: Soccer 19.2% over, NFL 35.5% over, CFB 41.9% over, NHL 48.9% over, MLB 33.3% over, NBA 43.2% over, WNBA 37% over, Tennis 100% over.
| Stat | Props | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Soccer Shots on Goal | 324 | 26.5% |
| Soccer Shots | 284 | 19% |
| Soccer Assists | 275 | 17.1% |
| Soccer Fouls | 269 | 23.4% |
| Soccer Goals | 266 | 12.8% |
| Soccer Saves | 189 | 27% |
| Soccer Goal + Assist | 149 | 1.3% |
| CFB 1H Rushing Yards | 78 | 48.7% |
Each prop's consensus line at kickoff, graded against the final box score. Pushes left out. The last 7 days →
Arbs and middles found
769 arbs (median edge +1.6%) and 621 middles on player props, at books you can bet on together.
Arbs by league: NFL 451 · NHL 186 · MLB 63 · Tennis 25 · NBA 23 · CFB 12 · WNBA 9
| Biggest arbs | Over | Under | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Miller NHL · Goals 0.5 | Bovada +750 | Pinnacle -474 | +6.0% |
| Trevor Connelly NHL · Goals 1.5 | DraftKings +2200 | Fliff -900 | +6.0% |
| Matthew Golden NFL · Receptions 5.5 | betPARX +114 | DraftKings +110 | +6.0% |
| Dalton Kincaid NFL · Receptions 6.5 | betPARX +225 | Fliff -175 | +5.9% |
| Drake Batherson NHL · Goals 1.5 | DraftKings +1500 | Fliff -745 | +5.9% |
An arb is an over and under at two books whose prices lock in a profit; a middle is two lines far enough apart that both can win. Counted once each, however often they reappeared. Yesterday's arbs →