Player props, the week of Oct 19–25, 2026
Closing lines went 38.6% over across 1,053 props and the board found 878 arbs.
Overs
38.6%
of closing lines
Props graded
1,053
in 349 games
Arbs
878
median +1.7%
Middles
798
across 5 leagues
How the closing lines landed
Leaving out the 0.5 lines (a goal, a touchdown, an assist), 40.8% of 836 props went over.
NBA307 props45.3%
Soccer271 props19.9%
NHL223 props40.8%
NFL144 props49.3%
WNBA41 props53.7%
NHL · busiest stats| Stat | Props | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 93 | 34.4% |
| Shots on Goal | 80 | 48.8% |
Soccer · busiest stats| Stat | Props | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 74 | 21.6% |
| Shots on Goal | 73 | 12.3% |
| Goals | 60 | 10% |
NBA · busiest stats| Stat | Props | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | 69 | 46.4% |
| Assists | 55 | 40% |
| Points | 53 | 50.9% |
Each prop's consensus line at kickoff, graded against the final box score. Pushes left out. The last 7 days
Arbs and middles found
878 arbs (median edge +1.7%) and 798 middles on player props, each at two books that share a US state. Another 65 paired offshore or non-US books.
Arbs by league:429267132
28
15
61
| Biggest arbs | Over | Under | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart 3-Pointers 1.5 | PARX+128 | PX+100 | +6.0% |
| Courtland Sutton Receptions 2.5 | DK+100 | FLF+125 | +5.9% |
| Scottie Barnes Assists 5.5 | PARX+125 | FLF+100 | +5.9% |
| James Harden Rebounds 2.5 | PARX+260 | FLF-200 | +5.9% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. Points 19.5 | BR+170 | FLF-135 | +5.8% |
An arb is an over and under at two books whose prices lock in a profit; a middle is two lines far enough apart that both can win. Counted once each, however often they reappeared. Yesterday's arbs
PARXbetPARXPXProphetXDKDraftKingsFLFFliffBRBetRivers