Player props, the week of Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026

How the closing lines landed

Where DraftKings priced the line, overs hit 50.6% against the 49% its prices implied, about what the prices said. Leaving out the 0.5 lines (a goal, a touchdown, an assist), 37.8% of 923 props went over.

LeagueOver

NBA387 props

46.8%

Soccer245 props

5.3%

NHL158 props

42.4%

NFL140 props

42.9%

Tennis72 props

52.8%

WNBA38 props

55.3%

Soccer

Goals146 props4.1%

NBA

Rebounds84 props36.9%

Points73 props47.9%

Assists67 props43.3%

Rebounds + Assists49 props55.1%

Points + Rebounds + Assists43 props53.5%

NHL

Goals83 props37.3%

Shots on Goal63 props50.8%

Each prop's consensus line at kickoff, graded against the final box score. Pushes left out. The last 7 days →

Arbs and middles found

602 arbs (median edge +1.7%) and 1,253 middles on player props, each at two books that share a US state. Another 123 paired offshore or non-US books.
Arbs by league:2862482719148

Biggest arbs	Over	Under	Edge
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions 8.5	PARX+125	DK+100	+5.9%
Michael Porter Jr. Points 21.5	DDS+170	FLF-135	+5.8%
Ajay Mitchell Assists 5.5	PARX+170	FLF-135	+5.8%
Desmond Bane Points 23.5	PARX+163	FLF-130	+5.8%
Anthony Black Assists 6.5	PARX+163	FLF-130	+5.8%

An arb is an over and under at two books whose prices lock in a profit; a middle is two lines far enough apart that both can win. Counted once each, however often they reappeared. Yesterday's arbs →

PARXbetPARXDKDraftKingsDDSDesert DiamondFLFFliff