Overall Closing Numbers
For the week of Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026, 1,064 props were decided against the closing line across 241 games. Of those, 389 settled over (36.6%) and 675 settled under. Props with a listed implied probability saw a tighter split: 89 decided, with 45 going over (50.6%) against an average implied probability of 49%. Yes/No props totaled 141 decided, with 40 landing on the yes/over side.
Results by Sport
NBA led in volume with 387 decided props across 48 games, settling over at 46.8%. Soccer had the most games tracked (67) but only 245 props decided, with a 5.3% over rate — the lowest of any sport in the data. NHL posted 158 decided props across 38 games at 42.4% over, while NFL had 140 decided props across 14 games at 42.9% over. Tennis settled 72 props across 66 games at 52.8% over, and WNBA settled 38 props across just 3 games at 55.3% over. MLB had the smallest sample at 12 decided props (25% over) across 3 games, and CBB recorded 11 decided props (45.5% over) from a single game.
Breaking it down by stat type, soccer goals totals were the most lopsided: 146 decided with only 4.1% going over. NBA rebounds (84 decided) settled over 36.9% of the time, and NHL goals (83 decided) settled over 37.3%. NBA points (73 decided) were closer to even at 47.9% over, and NBA assists (67 decided) came in at 43.3% over. NHL shots on goal (63 decided) settled over slightly more than half the time, at 50.8%. Combo NBA stats ran hotter: rebounds-plus-assists (49 decided) hit over 55.1% of the time, and points-rebounds-assists (43 decided) settled over 53.5% of the time.
Arbitrage and Middle Activity
The week produced 602 identified arbitrage opportunities, with 61 flagged as available elsewhere beyond the primary tracking. The median edge across these arbs was 1.73%. By sport, NBA accounted for the largest share at 286, followed by NFL at 248, NHL at 27, NCAA football at 19, WNBA at 14, and tennis at 8.
The top individual arbs included an NFL receptions line on Amon-Ra St. Brown at 8.5 (betPARX over at +125, DraftKings under at +100, 5.88% edge), an NBA points line on Michael Porter Jr. at 21.5 (DesertDiamond over at +170, Fliff under at -135, 5.84% edge), and an NBA assists line on Ajay Mitchell at 5.5 (betPARX over at +170, Fliff under at -135, 5.84% edge). Additional top arbs appeared on Desmond Bane's points line at 23.5 and Anthony Black's assists line at 6.5, both pairing betPARX with Fliff at a 5.77% edge.
Middle opportunities were more numerous overall, totaling 1,253 for the week, with 62 flagged as available elsewhere. NFL led this category with 641 middles, followed closely by NBA at 603, while NHL contributed 9.